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The 2019 Food City 500 takes place on Sunday at legendary Bristol Motor Speedway. The green flag drops at 2 p.m. ET, and each corner counts as a result of tight, steeply-banked track where death is at a premium. Last week, Denny Hamlin captured his second success of the 2019 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series season at Texas Motor Speedway. He’s got a win at Bristol under his belt and can be recorded at 14-1 to triumph in the latest 2019 Food City 500 chances. But, there are six drivers using 2019 NASCAR at Bristol odds better than Hamlin, as Kyle Busch (5-2) is your favorite followed by Kyle Larson (7-1), Brad Keselowski (8-1), Joey Logano (8-1), Ryan Blaney (12-1) and Kevin Harvick (12-1). So before you make your own 2019 Food City 500 choices, visit the NASCAR in Bristol predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Produced by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors like track history and recent results into account.

The version is off to a strong start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin that a top-four contender from the beginning. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers at the Pennzoil 400, which included placing winner Joey Logano at its projected top . It was also all over Kyle Busch as a leading contender in the TicketGuardian 500 and four of those motorists in McClure’s top five went on to top-five finishes in the Automobile Club 400. Anybody who has followed its selections is way up.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic places like Bristol Motor Speedway are in his bloodstream. His model simulated the 2019 Food City 500 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For Sunday, we can tell you the version is high on Kurt Busch, making a strong run in the checkered flag despite going off as a very long shot 14-1 NASCAR at Bristol odds.

Busch is a six-time winner in Bristol Motor Speedway and his brother, Kyle Busch (seven), has more wins in this track among busy NASCAR drivers. That includes a victory last August at the NASCAR in Bristol race for his 30th career victory in NASCAR’s top series.

The 40-year-old veteran and 2004 series champion battled his way into the front of the package from the ninth starting position because race also has also already come from the 27th and 13th starting positions to succeed at Bristol. He beat Larson by 0.367 seconds last time NASCAR visited Bristol and will start 27th on Sunday. He is off to a hot start this year too, finishing in the top 10 in all but two races. He finished second in the Clash in Daytona and third in Atlanta.

And a massive shocker: Ryan Blaney, among the best Vegas favorites at 12-1, doesn’t crack the top five. There are far better values compared to 12-1 premium he is controlling.

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